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Revista médica de Chile

versão impressa ISSN 0034-9887

Resumo

CANALS, Mauricio; ROJAS, Camila  e  AVENDANO, Luis Fidel. Calculating the risk of acquiring measles of chileans traveling abroad. Rev. méd. Chile [online]. 2019, vol.147, n.5, pp.650-657. ISSN 0034-9887.  http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0034-98872019000500650.

Background:

There is always a risk of importing infectious diseases when travelling abroad.

Aim:

To estimate the effective risk of a Chilean of acquiring measles during a travel by countries where measles outbreaks have been reported, considering the present level of immunity in the country.

Material and Methods:

Previously established mathematical models using differential equations were applied to calculate the risk of acquiring measles of people traveling to endemic areas.

Results:

The probability of acquiring measles of a voyager is 8.11 x 10-8.

Conclusions:

These estimations help decision making about preventive measures for travelers to endemic measles areas.

Palavras-chave : Measles; Models, Theoretical; Travel-Related Illness.

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