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Estudios de economía

On-line version ISSN 0718-5286


MONTENEGRO, Claudio E; PEREIRA, Mariana  and  SOLOAGA, Isidro. China's effect on Latin America's international trade. Estudios de Economía [online]. 2011, vol.38, n.2, pp.341-368. ISSN 0718-5286.

Using a gravity model, this article presents an analysis of aggregate trade flows aimed at identifying China's impact on Latin America's trade. The results obtained indicate that: i) China's growth in the last years implied a growing supply of exports to this market from most countries in the World, including that of Latin American countries; ii) at the aggregate level, there was no indication that Chinese exports to third markets were crowding out LAC exports to those countries; and iii) a positive relationship between imports from China and exports to third markets was only found for the Southern Cone countries.

Keywords : Bilateral trade; Gravity model; Poisson regression; China; Latin America.

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